Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest NK Lokomotiva win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.