Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 12

Nov 3, 2024 at 4.30pm UK

Stadion Andelko Herjavec

Varazdin
1 - 0
Hajduk Split

Sego (43')
Belcar (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Biuk (19'), Sigur (41'), Diallo (84'), Livaja (90+2')

Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Varazdin and Hajduk Split.

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Varazdin

All competitions

Last Game: Rijeka 1-1 Varazdin
Saturday, October 26 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

Hajduk Split

All competitions

Last Game: Hajduk Split 2-1 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 56.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 18.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.58%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 1-0 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
NK Varazdin	Draw	Hajduk Split
18.52% ( 0.55)	24.68% ( 0.55)	56.8% ( -1.11)

Both teams to score 44.53% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.91% (

-1.28)

56.09% (

1.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.84% (

-1.05)

77.16% (

1.05)

NK Varazdin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.43% (

-0.09)

44.57% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.41% (

-0.08)

80.59% (

0.07)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.33% (

-0.91)

19.68% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.34% (

-1.51)

51.66% (

1.51)

Score Analysis

NK Varazdin 18.52%

Hajduk Split 56.79%

Draw 24.67%

NK Varazdin	Draw	Hajduk Split
1-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.64% Total : 18.52%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.67%	0-1 @ 14.25% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 11.58% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 6.28% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.2) 0-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.57% Total : 56.79%