Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 56.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 18.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.58%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 1-0 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.