Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 9
Oct 6, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion Poljud

Hajduk Split
4 - 0
Sibenik

Rakitic (2'), Durdov (17'), Kalik (62'), Livaja (88')
Diallo (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Peric (16')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Hajduk Split and Sibenik.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hajduk Split

All competitions
Last Game: Rijeka 0-0 Hajduk Split
Sunday, September 29 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Sibenik

All competitions
Last Game: Sibenik 0-0 Istra 1961
Friday, September 27 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Sibenik had a probability of 12.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.56%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Sibenik win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.

Result
Hajduk SplitDrawSibenik
67.04% (0.509 0.51)20.01% (-0.294 -0.29)12.95% (-0.22 -0.22)
Both teams to score 46.01% (0.3 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.56% (0.741 0.74)47.44% (-0.746 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.34% (0.682 0.68)69.65% (-0.688 -0.69)
Hajduk Split Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.78% (0.379 0.38)13.21% (-0.383 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.04% (0.764 0.76)39.96% (-0.769 -0.77)
Sibenik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.02% (0.112 0.11)46.98% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.53% (0.085000000000001 0.09)82.47% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Hajduk Split 67.03%
    Sibenik 12.95%
    Draw 20.01%
Hajduk SplitDrawSibenik
2-0 @ 12.71% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 12.56% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.58% (0.099 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.48% (0.096 0.1)
4-0 @ 4.34% (0.11 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.28% (0.094 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.044 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.76% (0.069 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.33% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 67.03%
1-1 @ 9.49% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.21% (-0.195 -0.19)
2-2 @ 3.63% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 20.01%
0-1 @ 4.69% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-2 @ 3.59% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.77% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 0.91% (0.007 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 12.95%