Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2024 at 4.45pm UK
Stadion Poljud
Dinamo Zagreb

Hajduk Split
1 - 0
Dinamo Zagreb

Sigur (54')
Kalik (68'), Gattuso (90+3'), Uremovic (90+5'), Kalinic (90+5'), Lucic (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ristovski (28'), Pierre-Gabriel (90+4')
Rog (90'), Rog (90')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Hajduk Split and Dinamo Zagreb.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osijek 2-2 Hajduk Split
Sunday, November 24 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-3 Dortmund
Wednesday, November 27 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hajduk Split in this match.

Result
Hajduk SplitDrawDinamo Zagreb
44.67% (-1.121 -1.12)25.4% (0.096 0.1)29.93% (1.026 1.03)
Both teams to score 54.31% (0.298 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.78% (0.107 0.11)49.22% (-0.105 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.72% (0.096 0.1)71.28% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
Hajduk Split Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99% (-0.465 -0.47)22.01% (0.467 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.67% (-0.708 -0.71)55.32% (0.71 0.71)
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64% (0.79300000000001 0.79)30.35% (-0.791 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.45% (0.933 0.93)66.54% (-0.931 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    Hajduk Split 44.67%
    Dinamo Zagreb 29.93%
    Draw 25.39%
Hajduk SplitDrawDinamo Zagreb
1-0 @ 10.11% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7.65% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.86% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 44.67%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 7.97% (0.139 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.19% (0.179 0.18)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.183 0.18)
1-3 @ 2.86% (0.131 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 29.93%

Head to Head
Sep 13, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 6
Dinamo Zagreb
0-1
Hajduk Split
Livaja (70')
Livaja (37'), Gattuso (38'), Diallo (53'), Pukstas (63'), Sarlija (90+15'), Biuk (90+14')
Diallo (90+4')
Mar 30, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 28
Hajduk Split
0-1
Dinamo Zagreb

Krovinovic (41'), Sarlija (52'), Kalinic (90'), Kleinheisler (90+2')
Petkovic (38')
Pierre-Gabriel (2'), Kaneko (36'), Ristovski (43'), Sucic (90+4')
Dec 17, 2023 4.15pm
Gameweek 19
Dinamo Zagreb
0-0
Hajduk Split
Petkovic (45+3'), Spikic (60'), Juric (81')
Pukstas (49'), Diallo (72')
Oct 1, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 10
Hajduk Split
1-0
Dinamo Zagreb
Sahiti (59')
Melnjak (29'), Livaja (34'), Sarlija (47'), Zaper (73')

Madatov (25'), Jakirovic (26'), Misic (55'), Baturina (76')
Jul 21, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 1
Dinamo Zagreb
1-2
Hajduk Split
Petkovic (35')
Misic (76')
Livaja (74'), Pukstas (90+3')
Krovinovic (38'), Dolcek (76'), Sarlija (76'), Ferro (90+1')