Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 23

Feb 2, 2025 at 5pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
1 - 1
Inter Milan

Reijnders (45')

FT(HT: 1-0)

de Vrij (90+3')
Bastoni (53'), Dumfries (61')

The Match

Match Report

Sports Mole looks at the highlights, man of the match, and stats from Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Inter Milan.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A derby between AC Milan and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 AC Milan
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Monaco
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Inter Milan
35.46% ( 0.3)	25.6% ( -0.12)	38.94% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 55.53% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.52% (

0.55)

48.47% (

-0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.39% (

0.5)

70.6% (

-0.5)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.55% (

0.44)

26.44% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.38% (

0.58)

61.62% (

-0.58)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.49% (

0.15)

24.51% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.03% (

0.22)

58.97% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 35.46%

Inter Milan 38.94%

Draw 25.6%

AC Milan	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.22% Total : 35.46%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.94%