Serie A Gameweek 22
Lecce
Jan 26, 2025 5.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Inter Milan
  • goal Davide Frattesi 6'
  • yellowcard Stefan de Vrij 16'
  • yellowcard Simone Inzaghi 31'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 39'
  • goal Denzel Dumfries 57'
  • goal Mehdi Taremi 61'
  • yellowcard Mehdi Taremi 82'

Lecce vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Jan 19, 2025 2.00pm
Cagliari 4 - 1 Lecce
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Nikola Krstovic

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Jan 19, 2025 7.45pm
Inter Milan 3 - 1 Empoli
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Marcus Thuram

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 74.35%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 8.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.57%) and 0-3 (10.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result

Lecce 8.5% ▲ (+0.42)
Draw 17.15% ▲ (+0.32)
Inter Milan 74.35% ▼ (-0.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.53% ▲ (+0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.35% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 69.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 14.97% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 85.03% ▼ (-0.03)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 44.48% ▲ (+1.03)
Under 0.5 55.52% ▼ (-1.03)
Over 1.5 11.81% ▲ (+0.60)
Under 1.5 88.19% ▼ (-0.60)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 88.86% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 0.5 11.14% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 1.5 64.41% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 1.5 35.59% ▲ (+0.42)

Score analysis

Lecce 8.5%
Draw 17.15%
Inter Milan 74.34%
Lecce
1-0 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.11)
2-1 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 8.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.99% ▲ (+0.18)
0-0 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 17.15%
Inter Milan
0-2 @ 14.89% ▼ (-0.25)
0-1 @ 13.57% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 10.89% ▼ (-0.27)
1-2 @ 8.76% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 6.41% ▲ (+0.05)
0-4 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.20)
1-4 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.08)
1-5 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 74.34%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 2
Inter Milan
Aug 24, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 8
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lecce
  • Matteo Darmian 5' goal
  • Jovo Lukic 20' yellowcard
  • Jovo Lukic 20' yellowcard
  • Jovo Lukic 20' yellowcard
  • Jovo Lukic 20' yellowcard
  • Jovo Lukic 20' yellowcard
  • Jovo Lukic 20' yellowcard
  • Jovo Lukic 20' yellowcard
  • Jovo Lukic 20' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Herrera Cardona 33' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Herrera Cardona 33' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Herrera Cardona 33' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Herrera Cardona 33' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Herrera Cardona 33' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Herrera Cardona 33' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Herrera Cardona 33' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Herrera Cardona 33' yellowcard
  • Enver Kulasin 61' yellowcard
  • Enver Kulasin 61' yellowcard
  • Enver Kulasin 61' yellowcard
  • Enver Kulasin 61' yellowcard
  • Enver Kulasin 61' yellowcard
  • Enver Kulasin 61' yellowcard
  • Enver Kulasin 61' yellowcard
  • Enver Kulasin 61' yellowcard
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 69' goal
  • Bart Meijers 73' yellowcard
  • Bart Meijers 73' yellowcard
  • Bart Meijers 73' yellowcard
  • Bart Meijers 73' yellowcard
  • Bart Meijers 73' yellowcard
  • Bart Meijers 73' yellowcard
  • Bart Meijers 73' yellowcard
  • Bart Meijers 73' yellowcard
  • Jurich Carolina 74' yellowcard
  • Jurich Carolina 74' yellowcard
  • Jurich Carolina 74' yellowcard
  • Jurich Carolina 74' yellowcard
  • Jurich Carolina 74' yellowcard
  • Jurich Carolina 74' yellowcard
  • Jurich Carolina 74' yellowcard
  • Jurich Carolina 74' yellowcard
  • goal Thomas Murg 25'
  • goal Thomas Murg 25'
  • goal Thomas Murg 25'
  • goal Thomas Murg 25'
  • goal Thomas Murg 25'
  • goal Thomas Murg 25'
  • goal Thomas Murg 25'
  • goal Thomas Murg 25'
  • yellowcard Antonino Gallo 31'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 39'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 39'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 39'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 39'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 39'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 39'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 39'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 39'
  • yellowcard Lameck Banda 60'
Serie A Gameweek 26
Lecce
Feb 25, 2024 5.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Inter Milan
  • Nicola Sansone 2' yellowcard
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 15'
  • yellowcard Kristjan Asllani 38'
  • goal Davide Frattesi 54'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 56'
  • yellowcard Henrikh Mkhitaryan 63'
  • goal Stefan de Vrij 67'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Inter Milan
Dec 23, 2023 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lecce
  • Simone Inzaghi 16' yellowcard
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 30' yellowcard
  • Yann Aurel Bisseck 43' goal
  • Nicolo Barella 78' goal
  • yellowcard Joan Gonzalez 15'
  • yellowcard Roberto Piccoli 64'
  • yellowcard Marin Pongracic 74'
  • redcard Lameck Banda 83'
Serie A Gameweek 25
Inter Milan
Mar 5, 2023 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lecce
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 29' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 53' goal
Serie A Gameweek 1
Lecce
Aug 13, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Inter Milan
  • Federico Baschirotto 32' yellowcard
  • Assan Ceesay 48' goal
  • Alexis Blin 82' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Colombo 87' yellowcard
  • Morten Hjulmand 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 2'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 55'
  • yellowcard Matteo Darmian 63'
  • goal Denzel Dumfries 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 20
Lecce
Jan 19, 2020 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare (Lecce)
Inter Milan
  • Giulio Donati 21' yellowcard
  • Marco Mancosu 77' goal
  • Biagio Meccariello 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antonio Candreva 32'
  • goal Alessandro Bastoni 72'
  • yellowcard Borja Valero 88'

Form Data

Cagliari 4 - 1 Lecce
Empoli 1 - 3 Lecce
Lecce 0 - 0 Genoa
Como 2 - 0 Lecce
Lecce 1 - 2 Lazio
Lecce 2 - 1 Monza
Sparta Prague 0 - 1 Inter Milan
Inter Milan 3 - 1 Empoli
Inter Milan 2 - 2 Bologna
Venezia 0 - 1 Inter Milan
Inter Milan 2 - 3 AC Milan
Inter Milan 2 - 0 Atalanta