Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 22

Jan 26, 2025 at 5pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
0 - 4
Inter Milan

FT(HT: 0-2)

Frattesi (6'), Martinez (39'), Dumfries (57'), Taremi (61' pen.)
de Vrij (16'), Inzaghi (31'), Taremi (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Cagliari 4-1 Lecce
Sunday, January 19 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Sparta Prague 0-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, January 22 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 74.35%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 8.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.57%) and 0-3 (10.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Inter Milan
8.5% ( 0.42)	17.15% ( 0.31)	74.35% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 39.53% (

0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.65% (

0.03)

47.35% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.43% (

0.03)

69.57% (

-0.03)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.48% (

1.02)

55.52% (

-1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.81% (

0.59)

88.19% (

-0.59)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.86% (

-0.19)

11.14% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.41% (

-0.41)

35.59% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Lecce 8.5%

Inter Milan 74.34%

Draw 17.15%

Lecce	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.44% Total : 8.5%	1-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.4% Total : 17.15%	0-2 @ 14.89% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 13.57% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 10.89% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 6.41% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 5.98% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 3.52% ( -0) 0-5 @ 2.62% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.07) 1-5 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) 0-6 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.27% Total : 74.34%