Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Jan 19, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
3 - 1
Empoli

Martinez (55'), Dumfries (79'), Thuram (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Esposito (83')
(63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-2 Bologna
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Empoli 1-3 Lecce
Saturday, January 11 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 72.93%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 10.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Empoli
72.93% ( 0.18)	17.02% ( -0.08)	10.05% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 46.22% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.1% (

0.11)

41.9% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.69% (

0.1)

64.3% (

-0.1)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.95% (

0.07)

10.05% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.86% (

0.17)

33.14% (

-0.16)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.38% (

-0.12)

48.62% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.32% (

-0.09)

83.68% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 72.91%

Empoli 10.05%

Draw 17.02%

Inter Milan	Draw	Empoli
2-0 @ 12.89% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 72.91%	1-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.69% Total : 17.02%	0-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 10.05%