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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 19, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Empoli logo

Inter Milan
3 - 1
Empoli

Martinez (55'), Dumfries (79'), Thuram (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Esposito (83')
(63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-2 Bologna
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-3 Lecce
Saturday, January 11 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 3-0 Empoli

In 16 previous top-tier meetings at San Siro, these sides have never before produced a draw, with 14 wins for Inter and two for their Tuscan counterparts. Empoli would gladly take one point on Sunday, but the Nerazzurri are a class apart and should cruise to victory over ailing opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 72.93%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 10.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawEmpoli
72.93% (0.18300000000001 0.18) 17.02% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08) 10.05% (-0.096 -0.1)
Both teams to score 46.22% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.1% (0.105 0.11)41.9% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.69% (0.104 0.1)64.3% (-0.10199999999999 -0.1)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.95% (0.072999999999993 0.07)10.05% (-0.071 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.86% (0.167 0.17)33.14% (-0.164 -0.16)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.38% (-0.123 -0.12)48.62% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.32% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)83.68% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 72.91%
    Empoli 10.05%
    Draw 17.02%
Inter MilanDrawEmpoli
2-0 @ 12.89% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 9.88% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.12% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.67% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.09% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.61% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.88% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 72.91%
1-1 @ 8.1% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.89% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.35% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 17.02%
0-1 @ 3.52% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.92% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.27% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 10.05%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Empoli

Inter Milan
92.9%
Draw
7.1%
Empoli
0.0%
70
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Empoli
0-3
Inter Milan

Cacace (38')
Goglichidze (31')
Frattesi (50', 67'), Martinez (79')
Bastoni (62')
Apr 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Inter Milan
2-0
Empoli
Dimarco (5'), Sanchez (81')

Cambiaghi (65'), Cacace (89')
Sep 24, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 5
Empoli
0-1
Inter Milan

Pezzella (33'), Maleh (62')
Dimarco (51')
Acerbi (26'), Bastoni (65')
Apr 23, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 31
Empoli
0-3
Inter Milan
Lukaku (48', 76'), Martinez (88')
Jan 23, 2023 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli24174339172255
2Inter Milan24166258233554
3Atalanta BCAtalanta24155454262850
4Lazio24143745321345
5Juventus241013141212043
6Fiorentina24126641251642
7AC Milan23108535241138
8Bologna2391133527838
9Roma249783529634
10Udinese2486102937-830
11Torino2461082528-328
12Genoa246992233-1127
13CagliariCagliari2466122639-1324
14Lecce2466121841-2324
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2472152653-2723
16Como2457122840-1222
17Empoli2449112235-1321
18Parma2448123044-1420
19VeneziaVenezia2437142239-1716
20Monza2427152139-1813


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