Serie A Gameweek 21
Jan 19, 2025 2.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Ndary Adopo 52' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Gaetano 60' goal
  • Sebastiano Luperto 65' goal
  • Nadir Zortea 80' goal
  • Nadir Zortea 81' yellowcard
  • Adam Obert 83' goal
  • Alessandro Deiola 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Santiago Pierotti 42'
  • yellowcard Santiago Pierotti 45'
  • redcard Ante Rebic 73'

Cagliari vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Jan 11, 2025 7.45pm
AC Milan 1 - 1 Cagliari
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Roberto Piccoli

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Jan 11, 2025 2.00pm
Empoli 1 - 3 Lecce
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Nikola Krstovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result

Cagliari 38.89% (+0.81)
Draw 27.69% (+0.24)
Lecce 33.43% (-1.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.5% (-0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.73% (-1.00)
Under 2.5 57.27% (+1.00)
Over 3.5 21.89% (-0.81)
Under 3.5 78.11% (+0.81)
Over 4.5 9.45% (-0.49)
Under 4.5 90.56% (+0.49)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 71.37% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 28.63% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 35.56% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 64.45% (+0.03)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 67.96% (-1.19)
Under 0.5 32.04% (+1.19)
Over 1.5 31.49% (-1.38)
Under 1.5 68.51% (+1.38)

Score analysis

Cagliari 38.89%
Draw 27.68%
Lecce 33.43%
Cagliari
1-0 @ 11.47% (+0.44)
2-1 @ 8.17% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.18% (+0.27)
3-1 @ 3.4% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.99% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 38.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.05% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 9.18% (+0.35)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.14)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.68%
Lecce
0-1 @ 10.44% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.21)
0-2 @ 5.94% (-0.17)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.18)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.14)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.12)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.43%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2024 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Nikola Krstovic 26' goal
  • Patrick Dorgu 45'+1' redcard
  • Wladimiro Falcone 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriele Zappa 24'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Lapadula 48'
  • yellowcard Razvan Marin 70'
Serie A Gameweek 35
May 5, 2024 11.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Yerry Mina 26' goal
  • Gianluca Gaetano 42' redcard
  • Claudio Ranieri 44' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Gaetano 44' redcard
  • Simone Scuffet 64' yellowcard
  • Nahitan Nandez 74' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Deiola 77' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Deiola 78' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Augello 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Roberto Piccoli 14'
  • yellowcard Nicola Sansone 54'
  • yellowcard Ylber Ramadani 56'
  • yellowcard Federico Baschirotto 74'
  • goal Nikola Krstovic 84'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 6, 2024 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Valentin Gendrey 31' goal
  • Gabriel Espeto 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alberto Dossena 35'
  • goal Gaetano Oristanio 68'
Serie A Gameweek 32
Jul 12, 2020 6.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Valter Birsa 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alessandro Deiola 75'
Serie A Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2019 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare (Lecce)
  • Jacopo Petriccione 68' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Lapadula 82' goal
  • Gianluca Lapadula 85' redcard
  • Marco Calderoni 91' goal
  • Diego Farias 95' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charalampos Lykogiannis 21'
  • goal Joao Pedro 30'
  • yellowcard Marko Rog 45'
  • goal Radja Nainggolan 67'
  • redcard Fabrizio Cacciatore 81'
  • redcard Robin Olsen 85'