/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fromlog.png)
-
Mexx Meerdink
53'
-
Wouter Goes
64'
-
Troy Parrott
80'
-
Kristijan Belic
90'+2'
-
Artem Dovbyk
19'
-
Mats Hummels
35'
-
Alexis Saelemaekers
71'
AZ Alkmaar vs Roma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F52%2Fpaulo-dybala.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Roma had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.
Result
AZ Alkmaar
51.86%
▼
(-0.19)
Draw
24.28%
▲
(+0.25)
Roma
23.86%
▼
(-0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
52.9%
▼
(-0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.28%
▼
(-1.07)
Under 2.5
48.72%
▲
(+1.07)
Over 3.5
29.17%
▼
(-0.98)
Under 3.5
70.83%
▲
(+0.98)
Over 4.5
14.1%
▼
(-0.68)
Under 4.5
85.9%
▲
(+0.68)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
81.23%
▼
(-0.49)
Under 0.5
18.77%
▲
(+0.48)
Over 1.5
49.84%
▼
(-0.81)
Under 1.5
50.16%
▲
(+0.82)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5
65.11%
▼
(-0.64)
Under 0.5
34.88%
▲
(+0.64)
Over 1.5
28.38%
▼
(-0.68)
Under 1.5
71.62%
▲
(+0.68)
Score analysis
AZ Alkmaar
51.86%
Draw
24.27%
Roma
23.86%
AZ Alkmaar
1-0
@
10.95%
▲
(+0.31)
2-1 @ 9.65% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.16% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 51.86%
2-1 @ 9.65% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.16% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 51.86%
Draw
1-1
@
11.53%
▲
(+0.13)
0-0 @ 6.55% ▲ (+0.29)
2-2 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 24.27%
0-0 @ 6.55% ▲ (+0.29)
2-2 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 24.27%
Roma
0-1
@
6.89%
▲
(+0.19)
1-2 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 23.86%
1-2 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 23.86%