/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fnaclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
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Elias Mar Omarsson
12'
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Leo Greiml
30'
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Max Balard
62'
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Leo Greiml
85'
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Boy Kemper
90'+4'
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Jan Van den Bergh
90'+4'
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Peer Koopmeiners
71'
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Troy Parrott
76'
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Maarten Martens
88'
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Mees de Wit
90'+2'
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Mees de Wit
90'+5'
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Ruben van Bommel
90'+7'
NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 51.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 24.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
NAC Breda Goals
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 24.17%
0-0 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 24.37%
1-2 @ 9.63% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.09%
1-3 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 51.45%