Eredivisie | Gameweek 13

Nov 24, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
2 - 2
NAC Breda

Bosch (61'), Bokila (90+8' pen.)
Vaesen (62'), Tirpan (66'), Bokila (89'), Nizet (90+9')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sauer (31'), Greiml (53')
Van den Bergh (90+1'), Hoefkens (90+5'), Leemans (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and NAC Breda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions

Last Game: AZ 1-2 Willem II
Sunday, November 10 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

NAC Breda

All competitions

Last Game: NAC Breda 0-3 PSV
Saturday, November 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Willem II	Draw	NAC Breda
42.27% ( 0.27)	25.39% ( 0.08)	32.33% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 55.44% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.75% (

-0.44)

48.25% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.6% (

-0.4)

70.4% (

0.41)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.28% (

-0.06)

22.72% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.61% (

-0.09)

56.4% (

0.1)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.75% (

-0.43)

28.25% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.04% (

-0.55)

63.96% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Willem II 42.28%

NAC Breda 32.33%

Draw 25.39%

Willem II	Draw	NAC Breda
1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.28%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.33%