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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NAC Breda
Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Nov 30, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Rat Verlegh Stadion

NAC Breda
1 - 0
Almere City

Sauer (18')
Lucassen (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NAC Breda and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Willem II 2-2 NAC Breda
Sunday, November 24 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 Almere City
Saturday, November 23 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: NAC Breda 1-0 Almere City

Almere City could really do with a positive result at the moment as they look to snap a woeful run of form and kickstart their season.   We are anticipating a drab and nervy affair with the home side just about edging out their visitors in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Almere City win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for NAC Breda in this match.

Result
NAC BredaDrawAlmere City
47.06% (0.439 0.44) 25.42% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 27.51% (-0.468 -0.47)
Both teams to score 52.69% (-0.427 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.38% (-0.399 -0.4)50.62% (0.398 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.47% (-0.353 -0.35)72.53% (0.35199999999999 0.35)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (0.028000000000006 0.03)21.51% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.43% (0.044999999999995 0.04)54.57% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.13% (-0.56999999999999 -0.57)32.87% (0.569 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.56% (-0.639 -0.64)69.44% (0.639 0.64)
Score Analysis
    NAC Breda 47.06%
    Almere City 27.51%
    Draw 25.41%
NAC BredaDrawAlmere City
1-0 @ 10.86% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.35% (0.148 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.28% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 47.06%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.07% (0.113 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.87% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.38% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.51%

How you voted: NAC Breda vs Almere City

NAC Breda
84.2%
Draw
15.8%
Almere City
0.0%
19
Head to Head
May 7, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 36
Almere City
0-2
NAC Breda
Agougil (30'), Mar Omarsson (35')
Dec 16, 2022 7pm
Apr 16, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 35
Almere City
1-2
NAC Breda
Malone (61' og.)
Receveur (30')
Velanas (47'), Bannis (90+8')
de Rooij (88'), Azzagari (89')
Dec 10, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 19
NAC Breda
1-1
Almere City
Haye (74')
Rutten (29')
Feb 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 22
NAC Breda
4-0
Almere City
Immers (21'), Bilate (44', 59'), El Allouchi (85')
Haye (34')

Receveur (30')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV14130150113939
2FC UtrechtUtrecht1310122417731
3Feyenoord1485132141829
4Ajax1292127111629
5FC Twente1484229141528
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1472526151123
7NAC BredaNAC Breda146171523-819
8Go Ahead Eagles145362023-318
9Fortuna SittardSittard145361519-418
10NECNijmegen135172012816
11Willem II144461516-116
12PEC Zwolle144371524-915
13Groningen144371424-1015
14Heerenveen144371427-1315
15Heracles143471426-1213
16Sparta RotterdamSparta142571321-811
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1413101334-216
18Almere CityAlmere City141310631-256


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