Eredivisie | Gameweek 14

Nov 30, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Rat Verlegh Stadion

NAC Breda
1 - 0
Almere City

Sauer (18')
Lucassen (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ritmeester van de Kamp (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NAC Breda and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NAC Breda

All competitions

Last Game: Willem II 2-2 NAC Breda
Sunday, November 24 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Almere City

All competitions

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 Almere City
Saturday, November 23 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Almere City win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for NAC Breda in this match.

Result
NAC Breda	Draw	Almere City
47.06% ( 0.44)	25.42% ( 0.03)	27.51% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 52.69% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.38% (

-0.4)

50.62% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.47% (

-0.35)

72.53% (

0.35)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.48% (

0.03)

21.51% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.43% (

0.04)

54.57% (

-0.05)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.13% (

-0.57)

32.87% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.56% (

-0.64)

69.44% (

0.64)

Score Analysis

NAC Breda 47.06%

Almere City 27.51%

Draw 25.41%

NAC Breda	Draw	Almere City
1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 47.06%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 7.87% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.51% Total : 27.51%