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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Almere City win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for NAC Breda in this match.
Result | ||
NAC Breda | Draw | Almere City |
47.06% ( 0.44) | 25.42% ( 0.03) | 27.51% ( -0.47) |
Both teams to score 52.69% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.38% ( -0.4) | 50.62% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.47% ( -0.35) | 72.53% ( 0.35) |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.48% ( 0.03) | 21.51% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.43% ( 0.04) | 54.57% ( -0.05) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.13% ( -0.57) | 32.87% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.56% ( -0.64) | 69.44% ( 0.64) |
Score Analysis |
NAC Breda | Draw | Almere City |
1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 47.06% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 7.87% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.51% Total : 27.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 50 | 11 | 39 | 39 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 31 |
3 | Feyenoord | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 29 |
4 | Ajax | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
5 | FC Twente | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 23 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 18 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 18 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
11 | Willem II | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
13 | Groningen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 15 |
14 | Heerenveen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
15 | Heracles | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 31 | -25 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |