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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 75.43%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 9.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.42%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for an Almere City win it was 2-1 (2.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 9.65% ( | 14.92% ( | 75.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.21% ( | 32.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.52% ( | 54.48% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.85% ( | 43.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.58% ( | 79.42% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.73% ( | 7.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.68% ( | 26.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 2.9% ( 1-0 @ 2.64% ( 2-0 @ 1.11% ( 3-2 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 1.94% Total : 9.65% | 1-1 @ 6.91% ( 2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0-0 @ 3.14% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 14.92% | 0-2 @ 10.77% ( 0-3 @ 9.42% ( 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 1-3 @ 7.92% ( 0-4 @ 6.17% ( 1-4 @ 5.19% ( 2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0-5 @ 3.24% ( 1-5 @ 2.72% ( 2-4 @ 2.18% ( 0-6 @ 1.42% ( 1-6 @ 1.19% ( 2-5 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 3.46% Total : 75.42% |