Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 75.43%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 9.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.42%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for an Almere City win it was 2-1 (2.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.