Europa League
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Ivaylo Chochev
60'
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Kwadwo Duah
63'
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Ivaylo Chochev
84'
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Pedro Naressi
88'
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Ruben van Bommel
13'
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Seiya Maikuma
19'
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Wouter Goes
48'
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Peer Koopmeiners
49'
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David Moller Wolfe
66'
Ludogorets Razgrad vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result
Ludogorets Razgrad
38.05%
▼
(-0.23)
Draw
25.9%
▲
(+0.06)
AZ Alkmaar
36.05%
▲
(+0.17)
Both Teams to Score:
54.56%
▼
(-0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.25%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 2.5
49.75%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 3.5
28.24%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 3.5
71.75%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 4.5
13.47%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 4.5
86.52%
▲
(+0.15)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5
74.43%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 0.5
25.57%
▲
(+0.23)
Over 1.5
39.56%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 1.5
60.44%
▲
(+0.32)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
73.3%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
26.7%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
38.04%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
61.95%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Ludogorets Razgrad
38.05%
Draw
25.89%
AZ Alkmaar
36.05%
Ludogorets Razgrad
1-0
@
9.31%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.38% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 38.05%
2-1 @ 8.38% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 38.05%
Draw
1-1
@
12.29%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
0-0 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
AZ Alkmaar
0-1
@
9.02%
▲
(+0.09)
1-2 @ 8.12% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 36.05%
1-2 @ 8.12% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 36.05%