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Europa League
Ludogorets
Europa League | League Stage
Dec 12, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)
AZ Alkmaar

Ludogorets
2 - 2
AZ

Chochev (60'), Duah (63')
Chochev (84'), Naressi (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
van Bommel (13'), Maikuma (19')
Goes (48'), Koopmeiners (49'), Moller Wolfe (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ludogorets Razgrad

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lazio 0-0 Ludogorets
Thursday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: AZ 2-1 Ajax
Sunday, December 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 AZ Alkmaar

 Securing a share of the spoils at Lazio last time out in the Europa League, Ludogorets should fancy their chances of recording their maiden win of the League Phase at home on Thursday night. AZ Alkmaar come into this clash in good form, although we feel that a hostile atmosphere at Huvepharma Arena could tip the balance and lead to a narrow defeat for De Kaasboeren. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Ludogorets RazgradDrawAZ Alkmaar
38.05% (-0.222 -0.22) 25.9% (0.058 0.06) 36.05% (0.162 0.16)
Both teams to score 54.56% (-0.182 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.25% (-0.239 -0.24)49.75% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.24% (-0.214 -0.21)71.75% (0.20999999999999 0.21)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.43% (-0.233 -0.23)25.57% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.56% (-0.317 -0.32)60.44% (0.313 0.31)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.3% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)26.7% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.04% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)61.95% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ludogorets Razgrad 38.05%
    AZ Alkmaar 36.05%
    Draw 25.89%
Ludogorets RazgradDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 9.31% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.35% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.89% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 38.05%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.066 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 9.02% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.12% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.95% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.57% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 36.05%

How you voted: Ludogorets vs AZ

Ludogorets Razgrad
39.2%
Draw
15.0%
AZ Alkmaar
45.8%
153
rhs 2.0
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