Eredivisie | Gameweek 19

Jan 18, 2025 at 5.45pm UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
0 - 0
AZ

Penetra (35'), Meerdink (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-2 Utrecht
Wednesday, January 15 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 2-0 Ajax
Tuesday, January 14 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
40.54% ( 0.55)	24.51% ( 0.23)	34.94% ( -0.77)

Both teams to score 59.27% (

-0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.4% (

-1.2)

43.6% (

1.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34% (

-1.18)

66% (

1.19)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.45% (

-0.25)

21.55% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.37% (

-0.39)

54.62% (

0.39)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.55% (

-0.98)

24.45% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.11% (

-1.4)

58.89% (

1.41)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 40.54%

AZ Alkmaar 34.94%

Draw 24.51%

FC Utrecht	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.57% Total : 40.54%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.51%	1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.82% Total : 34.94%