Eredivisie | Gameweek 15

Dec 8, 2024 at 3.45pm UK

Yanmar Stadion

Almere City
1 - 3
Utrecht

Delaurier-Chaubet (86')
Nalic (51'), Providence (65')

FT(HT: 0-2)

van der Hoorn (35'), Iqbal (41'), Ohio (90+4')
Rodriguez (45'), Iqbal (48'), van der Hoorn (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions

Last Game: NAC Breda 1-0 Almere City
Saturday, November 30 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Utrecht
Wednesday, December 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 70.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 12.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for an Almere City win it was 2-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
Almere City	Draw	FC Utrecht
12.11% ( 0.04)	17.49% ( 0.03)	70.39% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 52.01% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.85% (

-0.01)

38.15% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.58% (

-0.01)

60.42% (

0.01)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.59% (

0.07)

42.41% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.21% (

0.06)

78.79% (

-0.06)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.31% (

-0.02)

9.68% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.7% (

-0.05)

32.29% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Almere City 12.11%

FC Utrecht 70.39%

Draw 17.49%

Almere City	Draw	FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.36% Total : 12.11%	1-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.49%	0-2 @ 11.19% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 0-3 @ 8.71% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 7.47% ( -0) 0-4 @ 5.08% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0) 0-5 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 2.04% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.87% ( 0) 0-6 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.97% Total : 70.39%