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KNVB Beker | Round of 16
Jan 15, 2025 at 7pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
FC Utrecht

RKC Waalwijk
1 - 2
Utrecht

Margaret (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Haller (46', 80' pen.)
Iqbal (38'), Jensen (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's KNVB Beker clash between RKC Waalwijk and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions
KNVB Beker
Last Game: Ajax 2-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, January 11 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

FC Utrecht

All competitions
KNVB Beker
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-2 Utrecht
Sunday, January 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 52.61%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.27%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Utrecht in this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawFC Utrecht
25.58% (0.224 0.22)21.81% (-0.106 -0.11)52.61% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 63.27% (0.63800000000001 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.12% (0.735 0.73)35.88% (-0.736 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.04% (0.804 0.8)57.96% (-0.804 -0.8)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.44% (0.557 0.56)26.56% (-0.558 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.23% (0.733 0.73)61.77% (-0.735 -0.73)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.16% (0.217 0.22)13.84% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.79% (0.432 0.43)41.21% (-0.431 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 25.58%
    FC Utrecht 52.61%
    Draw 21.81%
RKC WaalwijkDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 6.39% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 4.87% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-0 @ 3.23% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.82% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.43% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 25.58%
1-1 @ 9.64% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.069 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.68% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.84% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.81%
1-2 @ 9.53% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.27% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-2 @ 7.19% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-3 @ 6.28% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.74% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 4.16% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
1-4 @ 3.11% (0.035 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.34% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.06% (0.055 0.06)
1-5 @ 1.23% (0.023 0.02)
0-5 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
3-4 @ 0.91% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 52.61%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Utrecht

RKC Waalwijk
16.7%
Draw
8.3%
FC Utrecht
75.0%
24
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 8
Utrecht
3-2
RKC Waalwijk
Viergever (28'), Aaronson (51'), Min (52')
Ohio (85')
Cleonise (2'), Margaret (80' pen.)
Meijers (26')
> Preview
Apr 28, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 31
RKC Waalwijk
2-2
Utrecht
Min (26'), Margaret (66')
Min (65')
Bozdogan (61'), Lammers (84')
Elkarouani (59'), Bozdogan (69')
> Preview
Dec 16, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 16
Utrecht
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Jensen (28')
Kramer (45' pen.)
Oukili (58'), Adewoye (63'), Felida (90+1'), Lokesa (90+5')
> Preview
May 13, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 32
Utrecht
2-0
RKC Waalwijk
Douvikas (60'), Labyad (90+3')
Toornstra (65')

Adewoye (18'), Gaari (54')
> Preview
Aug 6, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 1
RKC Waalwijk
2-2
Utrecht
Van den Buijs (15'), Bel Hassani (45')
Oukili (79')
Dost (52', 85')
> Preview