Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 52.61%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.27%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Utrecht in this match.