Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 59.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 19.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.