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PEC Zwolle
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Dec 13, 2024 at 7pm UK
MAC³PARK Stadion
Willem II

PEC Zwolle
0 - 1
Willem II

FT(HT: 0-1)
Meerveld (11')
St Jago (63'), Bokila (71'), Behounek (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions
Last Game: Groningen 0-0 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, December 8 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Willem II

All competitions
Last Game: Willem II 1-2 Heerenveen
Sunday, December 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Willem II in this match.

Result
PEC ZwolleDrawWillem II
35.38% (0.179 0.18)25.51% (0.047000000000001 0.05)39.12% (-0.222 -0.22)
Both teams to score 55.84% (-0.13 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.93% (-0.177 -0.18)48.07% (0.18 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.76% (-0.162 -0.16)70.24% (0.16499999999999 0.16)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.7% (0.021000000000001 0.02)26.3% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.57% (0.027000000000001 0.03)61.43% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.77% (-0.196 -0.2)24.23% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.42% (-0.28 -0.28)58.58% (0.282 0.28)
Score Analysis
    PEC Zwolle 35.38%
    Willem II 39.12%
    Draw 25.5%
PEC ZwolleDrawWillem II
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.068 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 35.38%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.37% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 9.03% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.4% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.03% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 39.12%

How you voted: PEC Zwolle vs Willem II

PEC Zwolle
56.3%
Draw
31.3%
Willem II
12.5%
48
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PEC Zwolle
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