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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 51.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 23.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | Willem II |
51.66% ( 0.16) | 24.81% ( -0.01) | 23.53% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 50.9% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.81% ( -0.11) | 51.18% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.97% ( -0.1) | 73.03% ( 0.09) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.19% ( 0.02) | 19.8% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.13% ( 0.03) | 51.87% ( -0.04) |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.46% ( -0.2) | 36.53% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.68% ( -0.2) | 73.32% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | Willem II |
1-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 51.65% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.8% Total : 23.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 50 | 11 | 39 | 39 |
2 | Ajax | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 12 | 17 | 32 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 31 |
4 | Feyenoord | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 29 |
5 | FC Twente | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 23 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 18 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 18 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
11 | Willem II | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
13 | Groningen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 15 |
14 | Heerenveen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
15 | Heracles | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 31 | -25 | 6 |
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