AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Groningen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Nov 30, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Euroborg
Willem II

Groningen
2 - 0
Willem II

Oosting (32'), Resink (59')
van Bergen (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Groningen and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

All competitions
Last Game: PSV 5-0 Groningen
Saturday, November 23 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Willem II

All competitions
Last Game: Willem II 2-2 NAC Breda
Sunday, November 24 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 51.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 23.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.

Result
GroningenDrawWillem II
51.66% (0.155 0.16)24.81% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)23.53% (-0.152 -0.15)
Both teams to score 50.9% (-0.145 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.81% (-0.112 -0.11)51.18% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.97% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)73.03% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)19.8% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.13% (0.030999999999999 0.03)51.87% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.46% (-0.198 -0.2)36.53% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.68% (-0.199 -0.2)73.32% (0.194 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Groningen 51.65%
    Willem II 23.53%
    Draw 24.8%
GroningenDrawWillem II
1-0 @ 11.71% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.49% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.12% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 51.65%
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.23% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.29% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.94% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.67% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 23.53%

How you voted: Groningen vs Willem II

Groningen
22.2%
Draw
22.2%
Willem II
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 36
Willem II
1-1
Groningen
Doodeman (56')
Bosch (59')
Schreuders (62')
Duarte (6'), Bacuna (81'), Mendes (83')
Dec 19, 2023 8pm
Second Round
Willem II
1-3
Groningen
Bosch (56')
Behounek (60'), Schouten (83')
Valente (21'), Duarte (75'), Postema (84' pen.)
Peersman (56'), Rente (64')
Aug 27, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 3
Groningen
0-0
Willem II
Rente (59'), Bacuna (90+1')
Bokila (43'), Bosch (77')
Feb 26, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 21
Groningen
1-0
Willem II
Meijer (14')
Suslov (62')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 4
Willem II
2-1
Groningen
Okyere Wriedt (5'), Saddiki (24')
Saddiki (7'), Llonch (54'), Okyere Wriedt (66')
Suslov (61')
van Hintum (19'), Ngonge (68')
> Preview