MX23RW : Sunday, December 1 18:06:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Groningen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Nov 30, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Euroborg
Willem II

Groningen
2 - 0
Willem II

Oosting (32'), Resink (59')
van Bergen (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Groningen and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 5-0 Groningen
Saturday, November 23 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Willem II 2-2 NAC Breda
Sunday, November 24 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Groningen 0-1 Willem II

Groningen have experienced a major drop-off in recent weeks, losing seven of their last eight matches, while failing to score in four of their last five, including in two of their last three games on their home patch. Willem II, meanwhile, are gunning a third match unbeaten after a morale-boosting comeback against NAC Breda last week, and we feel they will be able to edge the hosts to a narrow victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 51.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 23.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.

Result
GroningenDrawWillem II
51.66% (0.155 0.16) 24.81% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 23.53% (-0.152 -0.15)
Both teams to score 50.9% (-0.145 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.81% (-0.112 -0.11)51.18% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.97% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)73.03% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)19.8% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.13% (0.030999999999999 0.03)51.87% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.46% (-0.198 -0.2)36.53% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.68% (-0.199 -0.2)73.32% (0.194 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Groningen 51.65%
    Willem II 23.53%
    Draw 24.8%
GroningenDrawWillem II
1-0 @ 11.71% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.49% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.12% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 51.65%
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.23% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.29% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.94% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.67% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 23.53%

How you voted: Groningen vs Willem II

Groningen
22.2%
Draw
22.2%
Willem II
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 36
Willem II
1-1
Groningen
Doodeman (56')
Bosch (59')
Schreuders (62')
Duarte (6'), Bacuna (81'), Mendes (83')
Dec 19, 2023 8pm
Second Round
Willem II
1-3
Groningen
Bosch (56')
Behounek (60'), Schouten (83')
Valente (21'), Duarte (75'), Postema (84' pen.)
Peersman (56'), Rente (64')
Aug 27, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 3
Groningen
0-0
Willem II
Rente (59'), Bacuna (90+1')
Bokila (43'), Bosch (77')
Feb 26, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 21
Groningen
1-0
Willem II
Meijer (14')
Suslov (62')
Sep 18, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 4
Willem II
2-1
Groningen
Okyere Wriedt (5'), Saddiki (24')
Saddiki (7'), Llonch (54'), Okyere Wriedt (66')
Suslov (61')
van Hintum (19'), Ngonge (68')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV14130150113939
2Ajax13102129121732
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1310122417731
4Feyenoord1485132141829
5FC Twente1484229141528
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1472526151123
7NAC BredaNAC Breda146171523-819
8Go Ahead Eagles145362023-318
9Fortuna SittardSittard145361519-418
10NECNijmegen145182114716
11Willem II144461516-116
12PEC Zwolle144371524-915
13Groningen144371424-1015
14Heerenveen144371427-1315
15Heracles143471426-1213
16Sparta RotterdamSparta142571321-811
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1413101334-216
18Almere CityAlmere City141310631-256


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