/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fgrolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fwillog.png)
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Thijs Oosting
32'
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Thom van Bergen
55'
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Stije Resink
59'
Groningen vs Willem II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 51.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 23.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
Result
Groningen
51.66%
▲
(+0.16)
Draw
24.81%
▼
(-0.01)
Willem II
23.53%
▼
(-0.16)
Both Teams to Score:
50.9%
▼
(-0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.81%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 2.5
51.18%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 3.5
26.97%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 3.5
73.03%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 4.5
12.63%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 4.5
87.37%
▲
(+0.07)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5
80.19%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
19.8%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
48.13%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
51.87%
▼
(-0.04)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5
63.46%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 0.5
36.53%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 1.5
26.68%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
73.32%
▲
(+0.20)
Score analysis
Groningen
51.65%
Draw
24.8%
Willem II
23.53%
Groningen
1-0
@
11.71%
▲
(+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.49% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 51.65%
2-1 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.49% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 51.65%
Draw
1-1
@
11.79%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 24.8%
0-0 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 24.8%
Willem II
0-1
@
7.29%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 23.53%