Eredivisie | Gameweek 15

Dec 8, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
1 - 2
Heerenveen

van der Hart (89' og.)
Bosch (25'), Behounek (45+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nicolaescu (85' pen.), Brouwers (90+3')
Smans (53'), Hall (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions

Last Game: Groningen 2-0 Willem II
Saturday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 1-1 RKC Waalwijk
Friday, November 29 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Willem II	Draw	Heerenveen
39.19% ( 0.81)	24.02% ( 0.01)	36.78% ( -0.81)

Both teams to score 61.35% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.99% (

-0.07)

41% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.6% (

-0.07)

63.4% (

0.07)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.93% (

0.36)

21.07% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.11% (

0.56)

53.88% (

-0.56)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.73% (

-0.44)

22.27% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.28% (

-0.67)

55.72% (

0.67)

Score Analysis

Willem II 39.19%

Heerenveen 36.78%

Draw 24.02%

Willem II	Draw	Heerenveen
2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.76% Total : 39.19%	1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.02%	1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.46% Total : 36.78%