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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 15.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 65.29% ( | 19.29% ( | 15.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.17% ( | 38.83% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.85% ( | 61.15% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.85% ( | 11.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.39% ( | 35.61% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.94% ( | 38.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.17% ( | 74.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-0 @ 10.21% ( 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 1-0 @ 9.31% ( 3-0 @ 7.47% ( 3-1 @ 7.21% ( 4-0 @ 4.1% ( 4-1 @ 3.96% ( 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 5-0 @ 1.8% ( 5-1 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 4.25% Total : 65.29% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0-0 @ 4.24% ( 3-3 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.29% | 1-2 @ 4.34% ( 0-1 @ 4.1% ( 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 1-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 15.43% |