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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 17.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 1-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 62.3% ( | 20.07% ( | 17.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.74% ( | 38.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.47% ( | 60.53% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.22% ( | 11.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.03% ( | 36.97% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.95% ( | 35.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.2% ( | 71.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 1-0 @ 8.83% ( 3-1 @ 7.06% ( 3-0 @ 6.73% ( 4-1 @ 3.78% ( 3-2 @ 3.7% ( 4-0 @ 3.6% ( 4-2 @ 1.98% ( 5-1 @ 1.62% ( 5-0 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 4.12% Total : 62.3% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 3-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.07% | 1-2 @ 4.85% ( 0-1 @ 4.33% ( 0-2 @ 2.27% ( 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 1-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 17.63% |