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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 49.66% ( | 24.76% ( | 25.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.75% ( | 49.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.69% ( | 71.3% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.15% | 19.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.05% | 51.95% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.3% ( | 33.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.65% ( | 70.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 1-0 @ 10.81% 2-1 @ 9.51% 2-0 @ 8.74% ( 3-1 @ 5.13% 3-0 @ 4.71% ( 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.86% Total : 49.66% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 6.69% 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 3-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7.28% ( 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0-2 @ 3.96% ( 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 25.58% |