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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
49.66% ( 0.01) | 24.76% ( -0) | 25.58% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.14% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.75% ( -0.01) | 49.24% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.69% ( -0.01) | 71.3% ( 0) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.15% | 19.85% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.05% | 51.95% ( -0.01) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.3% ( -0.01) | 33.69% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.65% ( -0.01) | 70.34% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
1-0 @ 10.81% 2-1 @ 9.51% 2-0 @ 8.74% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.13% 3-0 @ 4.71% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.86% Total : 49.66% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 6.69% 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7.28% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 25.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |