Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 66.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 14.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.