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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 66.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 14.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
66.46% ( 0.28) | 19.36% ( -0.02) | 14.18% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 51.48% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.09% ( -0.52) | 41.91% ( 0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.69% ( -0.53) | 64.31% ( 0.53) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.27% ( -0.07) | 11.73% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.14% ( -0.16) | 36.86% ( 0.17) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.32% ( -0.7) | 41.67% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.85% ( -0.62) | 78.15% ( 0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.67% Total : 66.45% | 1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.01% Total : 19.36% | 0-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.59% Total : 14.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Feyenoord | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 29 |
4 | Ajax | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 18 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
11 | Willem II | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
13 | Groningen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 15 |
14 | Heerenveen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
15 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 31 | -25 | 6 |
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