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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Twente |
| 30.36% ( | 24.46% ( | 45.19% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.12% ( | 44.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.76% ( | 67.23% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% ( | 27.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.51% ( | 63.48% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.02% ( | 19.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.84% ( | 52.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 7.32% ( 1-0 @ 7.12% ( 2-0 @ 4.54% ( 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 3-0 @ 1.94% ( 4-1 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.36% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 3-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0-1 @ 8.97% ( 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 1-3 @ 4.95% ( 0-3 @ 3.88% ( 2-3 @ 3.16% ( 1-4 @ 1.99% ( 0-4 @ 1.56% ( 2-4 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 2.95% Total : 45.19% |