Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.