AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Dec 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Erve Asito
Fortuna Sittard

Heracles
2 - 2
Sittard

Kulenovic (15'), Roosken (59')
Milani (90+5'), Scheperman (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Da Cruz (21'), Peterson (30')
Da Cruz (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-0 Heracles
Sunday, December 1 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-1 Sittard
Saturday, November 30 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawFortuna Sittard
33.26% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)24.44% (0.0010000000000012 0)42.3% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.32% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)43.68% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.93% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)66.08% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)25.46% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.7% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)60.3% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)20.77% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.59% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)53.41% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 33.26%
    Fortuna Sittard 42.3%
    Draw 24.44%
HeraclesDrawFortuna Sittard
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.23%
2-0 @ 4.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 33.26%
1-1 @ 11.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 8.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.68% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 3.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.84% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 42.3%

How you voted: Heracles vs Sittard

Heracles
37.8%
Draw
37.8%
Fortuna Sittard
24.4%
45
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 1.30pm
Nov 10, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 12
Sittard
4-1
Heracles
Guth (6'), Robberechts (25'), Halilovic (32'), Sierhuis (40')
Engels (89')
Engels (27'), Scheperman (43'), Bruns (53'), Wieckhoff (75')
Apr 3, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 25
Sittard
0-2
Heracles

Cox (18')
Quagliata (58'), Bakis (66')
Nov 20, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 12
Heracles
3-1
Sittard
Azzaoui (6', 30'), Sierhuis (67')
Burgzorg (78')
Flemming (9')
Angha (27'), Rienstra (41'), Ferati (42'), Flemming (81')
Feb 5, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 21
Sittard
0-1
Heracles

Janssen (25'), Rienstra (55')
Vloet (38')
Quagliata (27'), Kutucu (60')