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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 33.26% ( | 24.44% ( | 42.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.06% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.32% ( | 43.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.93% ( | 66.08% ( |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% ( | 25.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.7% ( | 60.3% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.23% ( | 20.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.59% ( | 53.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 1-0 @ 7.23% 2-0 @ 4.95% ( 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 3-0 @ 2.26% ( 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 4-2 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.26% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 3-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0-2 @ 6.53% ( 1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0-3 @ 3.42% ( 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0-4 @ 1.35% ( 2-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.77% Total : 42.3% |