Eredivisie Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2025 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Steven Berghuis 4' goal
  • Kenneth Taylor 41' goal
  • Owen Wijndal 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Mohamed Ihattaren 86'

Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Dec 22, 2024 11.15am
Sparta 0 - 2 Ajax
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Wout Weghorst

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2024 7.00pm
RKC Waalwijk 1 - 1 PEC Zwolle
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Oskar Zawada

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 86.38%. A draw had a probability of 9.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 4.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 4-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.45%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (1.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result

Ajax 86.38% (+0.74)
Draw 9.41% (-0.46)
RKC Waalwijk 4.21% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.67% (-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 72.58% (+0.99)
Under 2.5 27.42% (-0.99)
Over 3.5 51.98% (+1.23)
Under 3.5 48.02% (-1.23)
Over 4.5 32.58% (+1.15)
Under 4.5 67.41% (-1.15)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 95.75% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 4.25% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 82.33% (+0.90)
Under 1.5 17.67% (-0.90)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5 45.61% (-0.34)
Under 0.5 54.39% (+0.34)
Over 1.5 12.49% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 87.51% (+0.21)

Score analysis

Ajax 86.36%
Draw 9.41%
RKC Waalwijk 4.21%
Ajax
3-0 @ 12.13% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 11.52% (-0.22)
4-0 @ 9.58% (+0.24)
3-1 @ 7.39% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 7.3% (-0.29)
2-1 @ 7.02% (-0.20)
5-0 @ 6.05% (+0.27)
4-1 @ 5.84% (+0.09)
5-1 @ 3.69% (+0.13)
6-0 @ 3.19% (+0.21)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.04)
6-1 @ 1.94% (+0.11)
4-2 @ 1.78% (+0.01)
7-0 @ 1.44% (+0.12)
5-2 @ 1.12% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 86.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.45% (-0.22)
0-0 @ 2.31% (-0.15)
2-2 @ 2.14% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 9.41%
RKC Waalwijk
0-1 @ 1.41% (-0.11)
1-2 @ 1.35% (-0.09)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 4.21%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2024 3.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Mandemakers Stadion
  • Liam van Gelderen 20' yellowcard
  • Aaron Meijers 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brian Brobbey 36'
  • goal Bertrand Traore 76'
  • goal Mika Godts 90'+4'
Eredivisie Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2024 3.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Brian Brobbey 9' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 35' goal
  • Benjamin Tahirovic 38' yellowcard
  • Kristian Hlynsson 64' goal
  • Steven Berghuis 87' goal
  • goal Michiel Kramer 15'
Eredivisie Gameweek 7
Dec 6, 2023 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Mandemakers Stadion
  • Michiel Kramer 37' goal
  • Aaron Meijers 42' yellowcard
  • Yassin Oukili 51' goal
  • Yassin Oukili 87' yellowcard
  • goal Brian Brobbey 30'
  • goal Steven Bergwijn 43'
  • goal Steven Berghuis 57'
Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Feb 12, 2023 3.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Brian Brobbey 50' goal
  • Jurrien Maduro 78' goal
  • Mohammed Kudus 81' goal
  • goal Mats Seuntjens 17'
Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 5.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Pelle Clement 40' goal
  • goal Steven Berghuis 22'
  • goal Steven Berghuis 53'
  • goal Brian Brobbey 62'
  • goal Brian Brobbey 81'
Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Mar 6, 2022 3.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Lisandro Martinez 15' yellowcard
  • Sebastien Haller 33' goal
  • Sebastien Haller 37' goal
  • Devyne Rensch 53' yellowcard
  • Dusan Tadic 90' goal
  • Dusan Tadic 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Michiel Kramer 50'
  • goal Richard van der Venne 57'
  • yellowcard Vurnon Anita 90'+2'