Eredivisie | Gameweek 18

Jan 11, 2025 at 5.45pm UK

Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax
2 - 1
RKC Waalwijk

Berghuis (4' pen.), Taylor (41')
Wijndal (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ihattaren (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, January 5 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 PEC Zwolle
Friday, December 20 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 86.38%. A draw had a probability of 9.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 4.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 4-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.45%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (1.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
86.38% ( 0.73)	9.41% ( -0.46)	4.21% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 43.67% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.58% (

0.98)

27.42% (

-0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.98% (

1.23)

48.02% (

-1.23)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.75% (

0.28)

4.25% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.33% (

0.89)

17.67% (

-0.9)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.61% (

-0.33)

54.39% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.49% (

-0.2)

87.51% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Ajax 86.36%

RKC Waalwijk 4.21%

Draw 9.41%

Ajax	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
3-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.2) 5-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.13) 6-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.12) 5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.13% Total : 86.36%	1-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.52% Total : 9.41%	0-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.45% Total : 4.21%