/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fspalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
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Pelle Clement
25'
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Patrick van Aanholt
90'
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Kenneth Taylor
77'
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Bertrand Traore
87'
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Jordan Henderson
90'
Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F51%2Fsparta.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result
Sparta Rotterdam
30.47%
▼
(-0.33)
Draw
23.35%
▼
(-0.02)
Ajax
46.17%
▲
(+0.34)
Both Teams to Score:
61.68%
▼
(-0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.31%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 2.5
39.69%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 3.5
37.95%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 3.5
62.04%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 4.5
20.52%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 4.5
79.48%
▲
(+0.10)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5
74.77%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 0.5
25.22%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 1.5
40.03%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 1.5
59.96%
▲
(+0.36)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
82.49%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
17.51%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 1.5
51.98%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 1.5
48.02%
▼
(-0.15)
Score analysis
Sparta Rotterdam
30.47%
Draw
23.35%
Ajax
46.17%
Sparta Rotterdam
2-1
@
7.3%
▼
(-0.05)
1-0 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 30.47%
1-0 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 30.47%
Draw
1-1
@
10.6%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.35%
2-2 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.35%
Ajax
1-2
@
9.24%
▲
(+0.04)
0-1 @ 7.7% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 46.17%
0-1 @ 7.7% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 46.17%
Ahmetcan Kaplan
90'+4'