Eredivisie | Gameweek 17

Dec 22, 2024 at 11.15am UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
0 - 2
Ajax

Clement (25'), van Aanholt (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Taylor (77' pen.), Traore (87')
Henderson (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Sparta 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, December 18 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Telstar
Thursday, December 19 at 8pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Ajax
30.47% ( -0.33)	23.35% ( -0.01)	46.17% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 61.68% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.31% (

-0.13)

39.69% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.95% (

-0.13)

62.04% (

0.13)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.77% (

-0.26)

25.22% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.03% (

-0.36)

59.96% (

0.36)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.49% (

0.08)

17.51% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.98% (

0.15)

48.02% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 30.47%

Ajax 46.17%

Draw 23.35%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.47%	1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.35%	1-2 @ 9.24% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.36% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.69% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 3.94% Total : 46.17%