Eredivisie | Gameweek 16

Dec 15, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

Sportpark De Weeren

Nijmegen
1 - 1
Sparta

Marquez (90')
Meijer (49')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Neghli (84')
Verschueren (3'), Eerdhuijzen (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 5-0 Nijmegen
Saturday, December 7 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 0-2 NAC Breda
Saturday, December 7 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for NEC had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
NEC	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
34.45% ( 0.33)	24.37% ( 0.2)	41.17% ( -0.53)

Both teams to score 59.66% (

-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.95% (

-0.87)

43.04% (

0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.55% (

-0.86)

65.44% (

0.86)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.53% (

-0.22)

24.47% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.09% (

-0.31)

58.91% (

0.31)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.98% (

-0.61)

21.01% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.2% (

-0.96)

53.79% (

0.96)

Score Analysis

NEC 34.45%

Sparta Rotterdam 41.17%

Draw 24.37%

NEC	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.45%	1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.37%	1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.72% Total : 41.17%