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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 43%. A win for NEC had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | NEC |
| 43% ( | 24.79% ( | 32.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.39% ( | 45.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.07% ( | 67.94% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.74% ( | 21.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.82% ( | 54.18% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.97% ( | 27.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.6% ( | 62.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | NEC |
| 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 3-1 @ 4.65% ( 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 4-2 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 43% | 1-1 @ 11.64% 2-2 @ 5.89% 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 1-4 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 32.22% |