Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.