Eredivisie | Gameweek 16

Dec 15, 2024 at 3.45pm UK

Amsterdam ArenA

Ajax
3 - 0
Almere City

Weghorst (12'), Taylor (40'), Fitz-Jim (55')
Rensch (57')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Jacobs (50'), Kadile (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 1-3 Lazio
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almere City

All competitions

Last Game: Almere City 1-3 Utrecht
Sunday, December 8 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 82.48%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 5.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.09%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.67%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Almere City
82.48% ( 0.21)	11.92% ( -0.09)	5.6% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 42.82% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.03% (

-0.15)

33.97% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.17% (

-0.17)

55.83% (

0.17)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.87% (

0.01)

6.13% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.74% (

0.03)

23.26% (

-0.02)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.62% (

-0.5)

54.39% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.49% (

-0.31)

87.51% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Ajax 82.47%

Almere City 5.6%

Draw 11.93%

Ajax	Draw	Almere City
2-0 @ 12.99% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 12.09% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 6-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.31% Total : 82.47%	1-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.51% Total : 11.93%	0-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.84% Total : 5.6%