Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.