Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 53.62%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 2-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Stuttgart in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Stuttgart.