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UEFA Conference League

Istanbul Basaksehir
Conference League | League Stage
Dec 12, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Heidenheim

Istanbul
3 - 1
Heidenheim

Turuc (6'), Crespo (18'), Piatek (68')
Piatek (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Honsak (61')
Maloney (45+1'), Schoppner (73'), Eicher (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions
Conference League
Last Game: Istanbul 3-0 Hatayspor
Sunday, December 8 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Heidenheim

All competitions
Conference League
Last Game: Bayern 4-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, December 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 18.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawHeidenheim
60.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.68% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)18.68% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.2% (0.07 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.65% (0.079999999999998 0.08)39.35% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (0.082999999999998 0.08)61.69% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.43% (0.030000000000001 0.03)12.57% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.35% (0.052 0.05)38.65% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43% (0.061999999999998 0.06)34.57% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.71% (0.062999999999999 0.06)71.29% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 60.64%
    Heidenheim 18.68%
    Draw 20.68%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.64% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.56% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 60.64%
1-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.68%
1-2 @ 5.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 4.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 18.68%

How you voted: Istanbul vs Heidenheim

Istanbul Basaksehir
33.3%
Draw
17.8%
Heidenheim
48.9%
45