Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Dec 7, 2024 2.30pm
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Dayot Upamecano 18' goal
  • Jamal Musiala 56' goal
  • Leon Goretzka 84' goal
  • Daniel Peretz 87' yellowcard
  • Jamal Musiala 90'+1' goal
  • goal Mathias Honsak 50'
  • goal Niklas Dorsch 85'

Bayern Munich vs Heidenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Nov 30, 2024 5.30pm
Dortmund 1 - 1 Bayern
Goals scored
99
Top scorer
Harry Kane

Heidenheim

All competitions
Last game
Dec 1, 2024 4.30pm
Heidenheim 0 - 4 Frankfurt
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Marvin Pieringer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.3%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 6.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.12%) and 4-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.46%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (1.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result

Bayern Munich 82.3% (-0.24)
Draw 11.64% (+0.16)
Heidenheim 6.06% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.58% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 70.13% (-0.48)
Under 2.5 29.87% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 48.96% (-0.58)
Under 3.5 51.04% (+0.57)
Over 4.5 29.79% (-0.53)
Under 4.5 70.21% (+0.52)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 94.63% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 5.37% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 78.92% (-0.39)
Under 1.5 21.08% (+0.38)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5 50.28% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 49.72% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 15.54% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 84.46% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 82.29%
Draw 11.64%
Heidenheim 6.06%
Bayern Munich
2-0 @ 11.41% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 11.12% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 8.14% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 7.98% (+0.06)
1-0 @ 7.81% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 7.78% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 5.69% (-0.06)
5-0 @ 4.76% (-0.07)
5-1 @ 3.33% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.02)
6-0 @ 2.32% (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.03)
6-1 @ 1.62% (-0.05)
5-2 @ 1.16% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 82.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.46% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 2.79% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.67% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 11.64%
Heidenheim
1-2 @ 1.91% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 1.87% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 6.06%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Voith-Arena
  • Kevin Sessa 50' goal
  • Tim Kleindienst 51' goal
  • Benedikt Gimber 62' yellowcard
  • Tim Kleindienst 79' goal
  • Eren Dinkci 89' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Kane 38'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 45'
  • yellowcard Thomas Tuchel 60'
Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Nov 11, 2023 2.30pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Noussair Mazraoui 3' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 14' goal
  • Harry Kane 44' goal
  • Raphael Guerreiro 72' goal
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 85' goal
  • goal Tim Kleindienst 67'
  • goal Jan-Niklas Beste 70'
DFB-Pokal
Apr 3, 2019 5.30pm
5
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Leon Goretzka 12' goal
  • Niklas Sule 15' redcard
  • Thomas Muller 53' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 55' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 65' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 84' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 86' yellowcard
  • goal Robert Glatzel 26'
  • goal Marc Schnatterer 39'
  • yellowcard Niklas Dorsch 40'
  • goal Robert Glatzel 74'
  • goal Robert Glatzel 77'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Griesbeck 90'
  • yellowcard Timo Beermann 90'