Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.74%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.