Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 67.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 14.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a St Pauli win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.