Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 14

Dec 14, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
0 - 2
Werder Bremen

Sinani (62'), Smith (64')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kohn (24'), Ducksch (54')
Stark (8'), Friedl (12'), Stage (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 St Pauli
Saturday, December 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, December 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	Werder Bremen
41.83% ( -0.02)	24.21% ( -0.03)	33.96% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 60.12% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.61% (

0.12)

42.38% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.21% (

0.12)

64.78% (

-0.13)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.56% (

0.04)

20.43% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.12% (

0.07)

52.87% (

-0.08)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.56% (

0.08)

24.43% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.12% (

0.11)

58.87% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

St Pauli 41.83%

Werder Bremen 33.96%

Draw 24.2%

St Pauli	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 41.83%	1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.2%	1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.96%