Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Dec 14, 2024 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Danel Sinani 62' yellowcard
  • Eric Smith 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Niklas Stark 8'
  • yellowcard Marco Friedl 12'
  • goal Derrick Kohn 24'
  • yellowcard Jens Stage 43'
  • goal Marvin Ducksch 54'

St Pauli vs Werder Bremen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2024 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen 2 - 1 St Pauli
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Morgan Guilavogui

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2024 2.30pm
VfL Bochum 0 - 1 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Jens Stage

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result

St Pauli 41.83% (-0.03)
Draw 24.21% (-0.03)
Werder Bremen 33.96% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.12% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.61% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 42.38% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 35.21% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 64.78% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 18.42% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 81.57% (-0.10)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 79.56% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 20.43% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 47.12% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 52.87% (-0.08)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5 75.56% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 24.43% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 41.12% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 58.87% (-0.13)

Score analysis

St Pauli 41.83%
Draw 24.2%
Werder Bremen 33.96%
St Pauli
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.93% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.7% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.31% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.87% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 41.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.25% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.55% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.2%
Werder Bremen
1-2 @ 7.87% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.04% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.96% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.7% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.94% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.33% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 33.96%

Head to Head

2.Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Apr 9, 2022 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Daniel-Kofi Kyereh 43' goal
  • Philipp Ziereis 84' yellowcard
  • goal Niclas Fullkrug 58'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2021 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marco Friedl 24' yellowcard
  • Marvin Ducksch 50' yellowcard
  • Nicolai Rapp 54' yellowcard
  • Marvin Ducksch 62' goal
  • Oscar Schonfelder 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jakov Medic 14'
  • goal Finn Ole Becker 67'
  • yellowcard Guido Burgstaller 83'