Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.34%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.