Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 13

Dec 7, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Vonovia Ruhrstadion

VfL Bochum
0 - 1
Werder Bremen

Wittek (29')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Stage (56')
Lynen (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Last Game: Augsburg 1-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, November 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-0 Darmstadt
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.34%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
VfL Bochum	Draw	Werder Bremen
34.77% ( -3.14)	22.86% ( 0.38)	42.37% ( 2.76)

Both teams to score 65.38% (

-2.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.39% (

-2.43)

35.6% (

2.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.34% (

-2.74)

57.66% (

2.74)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.15% (

-2.59)

20.85% (

2.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.46% (

-4.23)

53.53% (

4.23)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.6% (

0.13)

17.4% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.18% (

0.23)

47.82% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

VfL Bochum 34.77%

Werder Bremen 42.37%

Draw 22.86%

VfL Bochum	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.49) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.41) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.29) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.35) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.29) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.77%	1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.43) 3-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.86%	1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.44) 0-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.77) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.69) 1-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.42) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.13) 2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.19) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.23% Total : 42.37%