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Bundesliga

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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Nov 30, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
VfL Bochum

Augsburg
1 - 0
VfL Bochum

Tietz (38' pen.)
Claude-Maurice (17'), Wolf (26'), Mounie (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wittek (68'), Ordets (72'), Hecking (73'), Bernardo (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Augsburg
Friday, November 22 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, November 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 53.92%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawVfL Bochum
53.92% (0.070999999999998 0.07)22.24% (-0.081 -0.08)23.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.65% (0.292 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.24% (0.381 0.38)39.76% (-0.384 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.88% (0.396 0.4)62.12% (-0.399 -0.4)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (0.154 0.15)14.76% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.99% (0.296 0.3)43.01% (-0.299 -0.3)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.98% (0.214 0.21)30.02% (-0.217 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.86% (0.258 0.26)66.14% (-0.261 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 53.92%
    VfL Bochum 23.83%
    Draw 22.24%
AugsburgDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.48% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.74% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.98% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.47% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.79% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 53.92%
1-1 @ 10.2% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.031 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.33% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.21% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 23.83%

How you voted: Augsburg vs VfL Bochum

Augsburg
85.2%
Draw
11.1%
VfL Bochum
3.7%
54
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
VfL Bochum
1-1
Augsburg
Broschinski (33')
Broschinski (44'), Oermann (45+4'), Osterhage (76')
Demirovic (90+1' pen.)
Jakic (70')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Augsburg
2-2
VfL Bochum
Beljo (35'), Demirovic (62')
Pedersen (38'), Rexhbecaj (44')
Asano (45+3', 64')
Bero (46'), Passlack (48')
> Preview
May 13, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
VfL Bochum
3-2
Augsburg
Antwi-Adjej (2'), Gouweleeuw (59' og.), Losilla (62')
Stafylidis (4'), Hofmann (50'), Riemann (90+3')
Maier (29'), Yeboah (85')
Bauer (32'), Gumny (76')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Augsburg
0-1
VfL Bochum
Antwi-Adjej (58')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
VfL Bochum
0-2
Augsburg

Gamboa (90+6')
Hahn (15'), Gregoritsch (43' pen.)
Dorsch (47'), Pedersen (84'), Gouweleeuw (90+6')
> Preview