KNVB Beker | Second Round

Dec 18, 2024 at 7pm UK

Sportpark Goed Genoeg

AFC
0 - 8
Utrecht

van Weerdenburg (58')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Jensen (34', 40'), Rodriguez (43', 60'), Blake (70'), Aaronson (78'), Min (87', 90')
Jensen (40'), Iqbal (55')

Coverage of the KNVB Beker Second Round clash between AFC and FC Utrecht.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC

Last Game: AFC 38-33 NFC
Sunday, January 26 at 8pm in NFL Playoffs

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Utrecht 3-3 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, December 15 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 50.39%. A win for AFC had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest AFC win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
AFC	Draw	FC Utrecht
26.03% ( 0.19)	23.59% ( 0.06)	50.39% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 57.4% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.18% (

-0.12)

43.81% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.8% (

-0.12)

66.2% (

0.12)

AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.56% (

0.08)

30.44% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.36% (

0.1)

66.64% (

-0.1)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.52% (

-0.14)

17.47% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.04% (

-0.24)

47.95% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

AFC 26.03%

FC Utrecht 50.39%

Draw 23.58%

AFC	Draw	FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 26.03%	1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.58%	1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.6% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.81% Total : 50.39%