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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 57.42%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.1% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.49%) and 1-0 (6.94%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 57.42% ( | 20.47% ( | 22.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.71% ( | 33.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.95% ( | 55.05% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.43% ( | 11.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.47% ( | 36.52% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.17% ( | 27.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.58% ( | 63.42% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 2-0 @ 7.49% ( 1-0 @ 6.94% ( 3-1 @ 6.89% ( 3-0 @ 5.38% ( 3-2 @ 4.4% ( 4-1 @ 3.71% ( 4-0 @ 2.9% ( 4-2 @ 2.38% ( 5-1 @ 1.6% ( 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 5-2 @ 1.02% ( 4-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 57.42% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0-0 @ 3.22% ( 3-3 @ 1.88% ( Other @ 0.36% Total : 20.47% | 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0-1 @ 4.12% ( 0-2 @ 2.63% ( 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0-3 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 3.51% Total : 22.1% |