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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 88.95%. A draw had a probability of 8.2% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 2.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.43%) and 4-0 (11.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.87%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (1.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Heracles |
| 88.95% ( | 8.2% ( | 2.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 35.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70% ( | 29.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.81% ( | 51.18% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.75% ( | 4.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.35% ( | 17.64% ( |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.59% ( | 63.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.7% ( | 92.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Heracles |
| 3-0 @ 14.14% ( 2-0 @ 13.43% ( 4-0 @ 11.17% 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 5-0 @ 7.07% ( 3-1 @ 6.45% ( 2-1 @ 6.12% ( 4-1 @ 5.09% ( 6-0 @ 3.72% ( 5-1 @ 3.22% ( 6-1 @ 1.7% ( 7-0 @ 1.68% ( 3-2 @ 1.47% ( 4-2 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 4.03% Total : 88.93% | 1-1 @ 3.87% ( 0-0 @ 2.69% ( 2-2 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 8.2% | 0-1 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 1.63% Total : 2.85% |