Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 74.57%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 10.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 3-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 1-2 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-2 win for Feyenoord in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Feyenoord.