Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 59.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for MFK Karvina had a probability of 19.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a MFK Karvina win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.

Result
Sparta Prague	Draw	MFK Karvina
59.35% ( -0.74)	21.13% ( 0.14)	19.53% ( 0.6)

Both teams to score 57.17% (

0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.89% (

0.31)

40.11% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.52% (

0.32)

62.48% (

-0.32)

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.81% (

-0.12)

13.19% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.09% (

-0.24)

39.91% (

0.24)

MFK Karvina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.86% (

0.8)

34.14% (

-0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.17% (

0.86)

70.83% (

-0.86)

Score Analysis

Sparta Prague 59.35%

MFK Karvina 19.53%

Draw 21.13%

Sparta Prague	Draw	MFK Karvina
2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.22) 1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.48% Total : 59.35%	1-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.13%	1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.09% Total : 19.53%