Czech Liga | Gameweek 12
Oct 20, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mestsky Stadion

MFK Karvina
4 - 1
Ceske Budejovice

Vecheta (6', 46'), Memic (29'), Vinicius Guimaraes da Silva (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Matousek (81')
Ekpai (27')
Coverage of the Czech Liga clash between MFK Karvina and Ceske Budejovice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MFK Karvina 0-0 Hradec Kralove
Saturday, October 5 at 12.30pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Ceske Budejovice 0-2 Slovacko
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Czech Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MFK Karvina win with a probability of 54.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Ceske Budejovice had a probability of 21.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a MFK Karvina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Ceske Budejovice win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MFK Karvina would win this match.

Result
MFK KarvinaDrawCeske Budejovice
54.82% (0.862 0.86)23.37% (-0.183 -0.18)21.82% (-0.67 -0.67)
Both teams to score 53.23% (-0.299 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96% (0.038000000000004 0.04)47.05% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.72% (0.035 0.04)69.29% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
MFK Karvina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.97% (0.32900000000001 0.33)17.04% (-0.321 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.81% (0.572 0.57)47.19% (-0.564 -0.56)
Ceske Budejovice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.16% (-0.61199999999999 -0.61)35.84% (0.62 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.38% (-0.636 -0.64)72.62% (0.64400000000001 0.64)
Score Analysis
    MFK Karvina 54.81%
    Ceske Budejovice 21.82%
    Draw 23.36%
MFK KarvinaDrawCeske Budejovice
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.56% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 5.79% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.64% (0.17 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.56% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.5% (0.101 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 54.81%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.36%
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.69% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.22% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 21.82%

Head to Head
May 25, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 5
MFK Karvina
1-0
Ceske Budejovice
Budinsky (30')
Bohac (90+2')
Mar 16, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 25
MFK Karvina
2-1
Ceske Budejovice
Memic (30'), Ivan (90+2' pen.)
Holec (24'), Fleisman (24'), Svozil (45+3'), Bohac (46'), Dolezal (90+1'), Ivan (90+3')
Suchan (20')
Nikl (34'), Sigut (45'), Sladky (72'), Poulolo (90+1'), Hellebrand (90+7')
Oct 7, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 11
Ceske Budejovice
1-0
MFK Karvina
Musa Alli (87')
Hellebrand (32'), Musa Alli (87')

Memic (68'), Budinsky (82')