/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Ftwelog.png)
-
Alexandre Penetra
45'+1'
-
Troy Parrott
48'
-
Wouter Goes
53'
-
Jordy Clasie
90'+5'
-
Gustaf Lagerbielke
30'
-
Ricky van Wolfswinkel
36'
-
Daan Rots
65'
-
Bas Kuipers
90'+5'
AZ Alkmaar vs FC Twente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F50%2Fmaarten-martens.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 54.53%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 1-0 (7.48%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result
AZ Alkmaar
54.53%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
21.5%
▲
(+0.03)
FC Twente
23.97%
▼
(-0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
62.52%
▼
(-0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.93%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 2.5
36.07%
▲
(+0.23)
Over 3.5
41.83%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 3.5
58.17%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 4.5
23.63%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 4.5
76.37%
▲
(+0.21)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
86.69%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
13.31%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
59.85%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
40.15%
▲
(+0.11)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5
72.12%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 0.5
27.88%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 1.5
36.51%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 1.5
63.49%
▲
(+0.26)
Score analysis
AZ Alkmaar
54.53%
Draw
21.5%
FC Twente
23.97%
AZ Alkmaar
2-1
@
9.64%
▲
(+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.55% ▲ (+0.06)
1-0 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 54.53%
2-0 @ 7.55% ▲ (+0.06)
1-0 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 54.53%
Draw
1-1
@
9.56%
▲
(+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.5%
2-2 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.5%
FC Twente
1-2
@
6.1%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 23.97%