Eredivisie | Gameweek 17

Dec 21, 2024 at 7pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
1 - 0
FC Twente

Parrott (48')
Penetra (45+1'), Goes (53'), Clasie (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lagerbielke (30'), van Wolfswinkel (36'), Rots (65'), Kuipers (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 3-1 Groningen
Wednesday, December 18 at 8pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

FC Twente

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Katwijk 2-3 FC Twente
Wednesday, December 18 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 54.53%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 1-0 (7.48%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Twente
54.53% ( 0.07)	21.5% ( 0.03)	23.97% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 62.52% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.93% (

-0.22)

36.07% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.83% (

-0.24)

58.17% (

0.25)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.69% (

-0.05)

13.31% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.85% (

-0.11)

40.15% (

0.11)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.12% (

-0.19)

27.88% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.51% (

-0.25)

63.49% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 54.53%

FC Twente 23.97%

Draw 21.5%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Twente
2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.92% Total : 54.53%	1-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.5%	1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.59% Total : 23.97%