Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 13.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.